Plan B Various

Plan B Various (Flagship Composite) Indicator

The Plan B Various composite combines multiple long‑horizon valuation and momentum anchors into one chart to contextualize Bitcoin’s macro cycles.

Components

• Price: BTC/USD closing price

• RSI color map: momentum overlay highlighting overheated vs undervalued conditions

• 200WMA: long‑term trend floor proxy

• Realized Price: on‑chain average cost basis of holders

• Stock‑to‑Flow (S2F) projection: scarcity‑based model line

How to Read It

• Price vs 200WMA: approaches to the 200WMA have historically aligned with deep value zones

• Price vs Realized Price: sustained reclaim of Realized Price often signals early bull recoveries

• RSI colors: red clusters warn of overheated conditions; green clusters highlight undervalued phases

• Price vs S2F: large positive deviations can indicate euphoria; negative deviations indicate discount to scarcity model

Steps to Use

1. Establish Regime

• Price relative to Realized Price and 200WMA to frame bear, recovery, or bull regimes

2. Assess Over/Undervaluation

• Compare price to S2F and observe RSI coloring for momentum confirmation

3. Cross‑Validate

• Use Realized Price and 200WMA confluence to identify higher‑probability accumulation or risk‑off zones

Tips

• Treat S2F as contextual, not predictive

• Favor long‑term log scale for cycle analysis

• Combine with MVRV, NUPL, and Delta Cap for valuation triangulation

Use Cases

• Macro allocation timing, cycle stage assessment, and risk management

Created By: Created by PlanB; underlying series from widely used market and on‑chain sources.