Revived Supply 3+ Years
Revived Supply 3+ Years Indicator
The Revived Supply 3+ Years is an on-chain metric that measures the total amount of coins that has been dormant for at least three years and has recently moved. It provides insights into the behavior of the longest-term holders, helping to assess market sentiment, potential distribution, and long-term holder re-engagement. This metric is particularly useful for identifying significant market events and long-term shifts in investor behavior.
Steps to Use the Revived Supply 3+ Years Metric
1. Understand the Concept
• Revived Supply 3+ Years: Represents the volume that has been inactive for three or more years but has moved within a given timeframe (e.g., daily or weekly).
• Relevance: Highlights activity among the longest-term holders, often reflecting strategic decisions such as profit-taking, fear-driven movements, or market re-entry.
2. Interpret the Revived Supply 3+ Years Metric
• Increasing Revived Supply: Indicates a rise in activity by long-term holders, typically signaling distribution, profit realization, or reaction to market events.
• Declining Revived Supply: Suggests reduced activity by the longest-term holders, often reflecting confidence, accumulation, or market stability.
• Stable Revived Supply: Reflects consistent behavior by very long-term holders, often observed during periods of market equilibrium.
3. Analyze Historical Patterns
• Bull Markets: Spikes in revived supply occur during price surges, as very long-term holders take profits or capitalize on liquidity.
• Bear Markets: Increased revived supply is observed during capitulation phases, signaling the exit of long-term positions or reaction to fear.
• Accumulation Phases: Low levels of revived supply during downturns indicate strong holder confidence and a willingness to retain assets.
4. Make Decisions
• During Bull Markets: Monitor spikes in revived supply for signs of distribution by long-term holders, signaling potential market tops or resistance levels.
• During Bear Markets: Use increases in revived supply to identify capitulation phases, often aligning with market bottoms and accumulation opportunities.
• During Neutral Markets: Observe low or stable revived supply for signs of confidence and reduced activity from the longest-term holders.
Tips:
Combine with Other Metrics: Use Revived Supply 3+ Years alongside metrics like LTH Supply in Profit, and Realized Cap to gain a comprehensive view of long-term holder activity.
Identify Significant Events: High revived supply during bull markets signals distribution by very long-term holders, often preceding price corrections or consolidation phases.
Compare Historical Trends: Analyze revived supply trends across previous market cycles to identify recurring patterns and align strategies with historical behaviors.
Assess Long-Term Sentiment: Rising revived supply reflects strategic movements by long-term holders, signaling potential shifts in sentiment or market conditions.
Monitor Market Impact: Significant spikes in revived supply often coincide with major market developments, such as halving events, sharp price movements, or macroeconomic changes.
How to Use the Indicator Effectively
• During Market Rallies: High revived supply values indicate profit-taking or distribution by very long-term holders, signaling potential resistance levels or overbought conditions.
• During Market Corrections: Rising revived supply during downturns suggests capitulation or strategic selling, often aligning with market bottoms and accumulation opportunities.
• During Consolidation Phases: Low revived supply indicates confidence and reduced activity among the longest-term holders, supporting stable market conditions and accumulation phases.
Created By: This indicator is a widely recognized tool in blockchain analytics.
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