Supply Last Active 1y-2y
Supply Last Active 1y-2y Indicator
The Supply Last Active 1y-2y indicator measures the amount or percentage of BTC circulating supply that has been active (moved or transacted) within the past one to two years. This metric provides insights into medium- to long-term holder behavior, market trends, and participant engagement.
Steps to Use the Supply Last Active 1y-2y Indicator
1. Understand the Concept:
• Medium- to Long-Term Active Supply: Represents the portion of the circulating supply that was active between one and two years ago.
• Relevance: Reflects the behavior of holders who maintain a medium- to long-term investment horizon, offering insights into market confidence and stability.
2. Interpret the Supply Last Active 1y-2y Indicator:
• High Percentage: Indicates a significant portion of the supply has not moved for over a year, signaling strong holder confidence or reduced market activity.
• Low Percentage: Suggests higher turnover in this timeframe, reflecting increased market activity or changes in sentiment.
• Trends Over Time: Analyze shifts in activity to understand the balance between long-term holding and market engagement.
3. Analyze Historical Patterns:
• Bull Markets: Medium- to long-term holders may start realizing profits, leading to a decrease in supply last active 1y-2y.
• Bear Markets: An increasing percentage often reflects accumulation and long-term confidence in the asset.
• Market Cycles: Changes in this metric often align with key phases of accumulation, distribution, and consolidation.
4. Make Decisions:
• During High Percentages: Monitor for signs of long-term confidence or reduced market activity, which may precede accumulation phases.
• During Low Percentages: Evaluate potential market volatility or distribution by medium- to long-term holders.
• Validate Sentiment Shifts: Use this metric alongside other indicators to confirm changes in market sentiment and activity.
Tips:
• Combine with Long-Term Holder Metrics: Use alongside other indicators like long-term holder supply and realized cap for a holistic analysis.
• Monitor Cyclical Trends: Pay attention to increases or decreases in this metric during market transitions.
• Use Historical Comparisons: Compare current activity levels with historical data to identify recurring patterns and signals.
• Contextualize with Market Conditions: Consider external factors such as macroeconomic trends or major network developments.
How to Use the Indicator Effectively
Assess Long-Term Confidence: Use high levels of 1y-2y activity to gauge long-term holder behavior and market sentiment.
Identify Market Phases: Monitor changes in activity to detect accumulation, distribution, or stabilization phases.
Support Investment Strategies: Incorporate insights from this metric into long-term portfolio planning and market analysis.
Created By: This indicator is a widely recognized tool in blockchain analytics.
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