Spent Outputs 2y-3y

Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years Indicator

The Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years metric is an on-chain indicator that tracks the number of spent transaction outputs (UTXOs) aged between 2 years and 3 years. It provides insights into the activity of long-term holders who acquired their positions in earlier market cycles. This metric is particularly useful for identifying profit-taking behavior, long-term holder sentiment, and significant market cycle transitions.

Steps to Use the Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years Metric

1. Understand the Concept

• Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years: Measures the frequency of UTXOs created 2–3 years ago that are now being spent.

• Relevance: Reflects the behavior of seasoned long-term holders, offering insights into their confidence in market trends and potential profit-taking.

2. Interpret the Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years Metric

• High Activity: Indicates increased selling or profit-taking by long-term holders, often seen during bull market rallies or at market tops.

• Low Activity: Suggests that long-term holders are maintaining their positions, typically observed during accumulation phases or periods of market uncertainty.

• Spikes in Activity: May signal significant market events, such as major price movements, long-term holder reallocation, or shifts in sentiment.

3. Analyze Historical Patterns

• Market Tops: High activity in this age band often aligns with profit-taking during market tops, as long-term holders capitalize on significant price increases.

• Market Bottoms: Low activity during bearish phases reflects the confidence of long-term holders in the market's future recovery.

• Sideways Markets: Minimal activity suggests accumulation or holding by long-term investors during periods of market consolidation.

4. Make Decisions

• During Bull Markets: Monitor spikes in this metric for signs of increased selling pressure by long-term holders, which may signal an approaching market correction or peak.

• During Bear Markets: Low activity during downturns indicates that long-term holders are not capitulating, often aligning with market stabilization and recovery phases.

• During Accumulation Phases: Stable or minimal activity reflects reduced selling pressure and strong market fundamentals, signaling favorable conditions for long-term investment.

Tips:

• Combine with Other Metrics: Use Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years alongside metrics like Realized Cap to understand long-term holder behavior in greater depth.

• Track Profit-Taking Patterns: Increased activity in this metric during bull runs may indicate profit-taking by seasoned long-term holders, signaling potential market tops.

• Monitor Holder Confidence: Low activity during market downturns reflects the confidence of long-term holders, often marking the end of selling pressure and the beginning of market recovery.

• Analyze Historical Trends: Compare current activity levels to past market cycles to identify recurring patterns and align strategies with historical behavior.

How to Use the Indicator Effectively

• During Market Tops: High activity in Spent Outputs 2 Years–3 Years signals profit-taking by long-term holders, often coinciding with market peaks. These periods may warrant caution and consideration of risk management strategies.

• During Market Bottoms: Low activity reflects confidence among long-term holders, suggesting that selling pressure is subsiding and the market is approaching a recovery phase. These conditions often present strategic accumulation opportunities.

• During Consolidation Phases: Minimal activity suggests a holding pattern among long-term holders, indicating market stability and providing a foundation for long-term positioning.

Created By: This indicator is a widely recognized tool in blockchain analytics.